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The US addressable market is vastly larger and customer recruitment remains strong. Marantelli says Kalshi increased its number of clients fivefold during the World Cup, while White Swan predicts that NFL prediction markets could generate between $5 billion and $7 billion of liability in a single week.

But he acknowledges the possibility that faster customer losses could eventually test the sustainability of the model.

“They lose quicker, dry up quicker, recruitment or re-recruitment,” he says. “If the recruitment of players dries up, then what are you going to do? Definitely there can be components like that.”

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Once the deal is completed, current Lottomatica shareholders are expected to own around 67.5% of the share capital, with Cirsa’s shareholders owning the remaining 32.5%.

Cirsa shareholders will receive 0.668 newly issued Lottomatica shares for each of their shares in Cirsa.

Meanwhile Blackstone, Cirsa’s largest shareholder, is expected to become the largest shareholder of the combined company, maintaining around 24% of the share capital.

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“Player protection is something I live and breathe and I look forward to implementing that passion at scale across Allwyn,” Rodano added.

He said that by operating in a number of markets, Allwyn had a unique opportunity to learn from each other.

The appointment also follows a period of leadership changes at Allwyn, including Phil Walker’s move to lead the UK business, Katie Harbron’s hiring as director of games in the UK and Khalid Reede Jones’ appointment as North America CEO.