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“They lose quicker, dry up quicker, recruitment or re-recruitment,” he says. “If the recruitment of players dries up, then what are you going to do? Definitely there can be components like that.”
For now, the growth provides room for multiple market makers. Marantelli expects margins to “stay good during the growth period” before contracting as competition intensifies. The more complex RFQ and parlay markets may offer the best protection against that compression.
The result is an emerging ecosystem that looks less like millions of customers casually trading predictions with one another and more like an outsourced sportsbook trading room. Exchanges own the platform and recruit the customers; specialist firms price the risk and provide the money needed to make those markets function.
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Developed by Legend – Genius Sports’ consumer media and technology unit, acquired last year for $1.2 billion – Prediction.com enables users to compare equivalent event contracts across several platforms. It also follows how market probabilities evolve in real time as sports events unfold.
Integration of Genius Sports’ official in-game data with real-time market pricing will allow users to track play-by-play actions alongside dynamic market probabilities, prices and signals.
Users can compare like-for-like contracts and multi-leg positions across different exchanges, enhancing their insights and decision-making. Another feature of Prediction.com is its proprietary cross-venue engine, enabling users to compare multi-leg contract combinations.
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Specifically, 156 out of 229 accounts with no pending bets remained linked to BetStop users seven days after self-exclusion registration. Some accounts were non-compliant for periods extending up to 200 days.
Carolyn Lidgerwood, an ACMA member, stressed the importance of respecting self-exclusion decisions, stating “providers must respect that decision” and “must have robust systems in place”.
These remarks align with a broader regulatory focus on harm-minimisation within online gambling, where adherence to self-exclusion protocols is under closer scrutiny.
